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Coursera - Model Thinking (University of Michigan) . - aretr - 05-31-2019 Coursera - Model Thinking (University of Michigan) WEBRip | English | MP4 + PDF Slides | 960 x 540 | AVC ~115 kbps | 10 fps AAC | 128 Kbps | 44.1 KHz | 2 channels | Subs: English (.srt) | 17:48:56 | 2.18 GB Genre: eLearning Video / Computer Science, Programming We live in a complex world with diverse people, firms, and governments whose behaviors aggregate to produce novel, unexpected phenomena. We see political uprisings, market crashes, and a never ending array of social trends. How do we make sense of it? Models. Evidence shows that people who think with models consistently outperform those who don't. And, moreover people who think with lots of models outperform people who use only one. Why do models make us better thinkers? Models help us to better organize information - to make sense of that fire hose or hairball of data (choose your metaphor) available on the Internet. Models improve our abilities to make accurate forecasts. They help us make better decisions and adopt more effective strategies. They even can improve our ability to design institutions and procedures. In this class, I present a starter kit of models: I start with models of tipping points. I move on to cover models explain the wisdom of crowds, models that show why some countries are rich and some are poor, and models that help unpack the strategic decisions of firm and politicians. The models covered in this class provide a foundation for future social science classes, whether they be in economics, political science, business, or sociology. Mastering this material will give you a huge leg up in advanced courses. They also help you in life. Here's how the course will work. For each model, I present a short, easily digestible overview lecture. Then, I'll dig deeper. I'll go into the technical details of the model. Those technical lectures won't require calculus but be prepared for some algebra. For all the lectures, I'll offer some questions and we'll have quizzes and even a final exam. If you decide to do the deep dive, and take all the quizzes and the exam, you'll receive a certificate of completion. If you just decide to follow along for the introductory lectures to gain some exposure that's fine too. It's all free. And it's all here to help make you a better thinker! Course Content: Introduction: Why Model? Segregation and Peer Effects Aggregation Decision Models Thinking Electrons: Modeling People Categorical and Linear Models Tipping Points Economic Growth Diversity and Innovation Markov Processes Lyaponuv Functions Coordination and Culture Path Dependence Networks Randomness and Random Walks Colonel Blotto Prisoners' Dilemma and Collective Action Mechanism Design Learning Models: Replicator Dynamics Prediction and the Many Model Thinker General Complete name : 04_6.4_Fitting_Lines_to_Data_11-48.mp4 Format : MPEG-4 Format profile : Base Media Codec ID : isom (isom/iso2/avc1/mp41) File size : 20.8 MiB Duration : 11 min 48 s Overall bit rate : 246 kb/s Encoded date : UTC 1970-01-01 00:00:00 Tagged date : UTC 1970-01-01 00:00:00 Writing application : Lavf53.29.100 Video ID : 1 Format : AVC Format/Info : Advanced Video Codec Format profile : [email protected] Format settings : CABAC / 4 Ref Frames Format settings, CABAC : Yes Format settings, RefFrames : 4 frames Codec ID : avc1 Codec ID/Info : Advanced Video Coding Duration : 11 min 48 s Bit rate : 115 kb/s Width : 960 pixels Height : 540 pixels Display aspect ratio : 16:9 Frame rate mode : Constant Frame rate : 10.000 FPS Color space : YUV Chroma subsampling : 4:2:0 Bit depth : 8 bits Scan type : Progressive Bits/(Pixel*Frame) : 0.022 Stream size : 9.67 MiB (47%) Writing library : x264 core 120 r2120 0c7dab9 Encoding settings : cabac=1 / ref=3 / deblock=1:0:0 / analyse=0x3:0x113 / me=hex / subme=7 / psy=1 / psy_rd=1.00:0.00 / mixed_ref=1 / me_range=16 / chroma_me=1 / trellis=1 / 8x8dct=1 / cqm=0 / deadzone=21,11 / fast_pskip=1 / chroma_qp_offset=-2 / threads=12 / sliced_threads=0 / nr=0 / decimate=1 / interlaced=0 / bluray_compat=0 / constrained_intra=0 / bframes=3 / b_pyramid=2 / b_adapt=1 / b_bias=0 / direct=1 / weightb=1 / open_gop=0 / weightp=2 / keyint=250 / keyint_min=10 / scenecut=40 / intra_refresh=0 / rc_lookahead=40 / rc=crf / mbtree=1 / crf=28.0 / qcomp=0.60 / qpmin=0 / qpmax=69 / qpstep=4 / ip_ratio=1.40 / aq=1:1.00 Encoded date : UTC 1970-01-01 00:00:00 Tagged date : UTC 1970-01-01 00:00:00 Audio ID : 2 Format : AAC Format/Info : Advanced Audio Codec Format profile : LC Codec ID : mp4a-40-2 Duration : 11 min 48 s Bit rate mode : Constant Bit rate : 128 kb/s Channel(s) : 2 channels Channel positions : Front: L R Sampling rate : 44.1 kHz Frame rate : 43.066 FPS (1024 SPF) Compression mode : Lossy Stream size : 10.8 MiB (52%) Default : Yes Alternate group : 1 Encoded date : UTC 1970-01-01 00:00:00 Tagged date : UTC 1970-01-01 00:00:00 Screenshots DOWNLOAD Code: http://nitroflare.com/view/347A33289FFFE93/rk8ae.Coursera..Model.Thinking.University.of.Michigan...part01.rar Code: https://rapidgator.net/file/e2135eb1c75dd8cd7d77ebd52b1ed234/rk8ae.Coursera..Model.Thinking.University.of.Michigan...part01.rar Code: http://turbobit.net/b5g0qdnj6jy2/rk8ae.Coursera..Model.Thinking.University.of.Michigan...part01.rar.html |